Race 1: 6-1 -4
Race 2: 8-7-4-12
Race 3: 10-8-5
Race 4: 6-1-11 -4
Race 5 Grade II Eight Belles Stakes
Mia Mischief (3): Looks like the one to beat second off the layoff with a good inside post to get position and play catch me if you can.
Gas Station Sushi (5): Returned off a nine moth layoff to win the Grade III Beaumont at Keeneland and would be the one who benefits from a hot pace.
Hold Her Tight (7): Was an impressive winner at Keeneland in a good OC 75 N/1x field and has drawn well for her first shot at a stakes.
Race 6 Grade I La Troienne
Abel Tasman (3): The class of the field who hasn’t been seen since the Breeders Cup where she was a hard luck loser. She’s much the one to beat here.
Martini Glass (8): Has been in top form this winter and should be able to work a good trip out with the lack of pace presence in here, dangerous.
Farrell (2): She might be able to get loose here with the lack of speed in the race and will try to take them all the way. For those of you doubting her last race please note it was on a sloppy track where she has had many poor attempts.
Race 7 Grade III Twinspires Turf Sprint
Will Call (10): Since switching to the turf he has shown new life with two wins and a narrow defeat to Holding Gold who would be a very short price favorite here. If we toss his last over the soft turf at Keeneland this is a major player.
Vision Perfect (7): A tactical horse in a field with a load of speed. Hopefully Paco doesn’t send this one and he sits a nice stalking trip. Has shown to be much more competitive at 5 furlongs distances opposed to the routes he was previously running.
Delectation (1): I believe the G1 First Lady was a prep for this race where he gets back to one turn sprints where he was very competitive overseas. Picks up lasix and Johnny V for his second start in the states.
Race 8 Grade II Alysheba
Backyard Heaven (4): Alright, we’re going to take a shot here as I think this one might be special for Chad Brown. With all the big names in here the 9/2 might become 7/1 or more.
Good Samaritan (1): Undoubtedly the one to beat in my mind. His last off a long layoff was super impressive and he has shown that he has more to offer.
Awesome Slew (8): Have always thought he was good enough to win going two turns where many think he is better going 1 turn, interesting to see him show up here opposed to the CH Downs Sprint on Derby Day.
Hopperunity (5): He runs his better races when he faces this level of class. It’s just hard to endorse him when he doesn’t like to win and others in this field will offer better value.
Race 9: 6-2-4-7
Race 10 Grade III Edgewood
Daddy Is a Legend (6): Hopped at the start in her last where she narrowly lost to champion Rushing Fall. Would like to see her get a clean shot and some pace to run at here. The price difference is far to big.
Rushing Fall (7): One of the most likely winners on the card but this is no easy field. She will be all of 3/5. You must decide single or try to beat her.
Toinette (7): Beat a salty field at Keeneland and takes the step up into Stakes for the first time. She will be all of 12/1 with a big shot.
Race 11 Grade I Kentucky Oaks
My Miss Lilly (11): What’s the one thing she has in this race that the others don’t? – a win at the distance. She has improved in each and every start and will get the set up here for top class connections. Who doesn’t want to see Hennig, Bravo and Courtland team up for an Oaks win?
Midnight Bisou (10): She’s tactical and can win from off the pace. A dead closer which will help her in a field filled with speed. She’s done everything right from day 1 and must be respected.
Monomy Girl (14): The one to beat but the post will do her no favors. She will have to have her best to win here.
Rayya (7): Has not finished worse than second in 5 career starts but the class is a question coming from Dubai.
Eskimo Kisses (13): The one in the race we know will relish the 1 1/8 distance. If there is a wet track she moves way up as she won an allowance and ran her best career number in the slop.
*Highly recommended if you can afford to use the 7, 13 adding them to tickets in some capacity or playing pick 3s with them to cover yourself they will be big prices.
Race 12: 10-6-1
Race 13: 2-6-11
Pick 5 Race 7-11
1,7,9,10/ 1,4,8/ 2,4,6,7/ 3,6,7,11/ 10,11 = $ 192
Pick 4 Races 8-11
1,4,5,8/ 2,4,6,7/2,3,6,7,11/7,10,11,14 =$160
Pick 5 Races 9-13
2,4,6,7/2,3,6,7,11/ 7,10,11,13,14/ 1,10/2,6 = $200
Derby Oaks Double Race 11
11, 10, 14 / 5,7,11 = $9 per dollar
Oaks /Old Forester/ Derby Pick 3 Race 11
11, 10, 14/ 7,10/ 5,7,11 = $18 per dollar