Pick 5 7-11
Race 7 Tremont Stakes
Dixie Mo (6): Didn’t get the flashy number the other Ward got first out but he knows his runners as good as anyone and this one will be in with a shot at a big price if he runs him.
Maven (2): The ward with the big pedigree and big number, they will have to run to beat him but I hate taking short prices on these two year old stakes that anyone can jump up.
Theitalianamerican (1): Ran a big first race out to lose in NYB company but this race isn’t filled with killers. Go back and watch the race, he has a big shot in here.
Race 8 Grade II True North
Recruiting Ready (6): Should be able to stalk what will be a hot pace and sit in the first wave of horses coming from off the pace to get a jump on the deep closers.
Whitmore (7): Never really had a fair chance in his last with the silly speed bias at CH on derby day. He always puts in his run.
Strike Power (5): When he is right he is one of the fastest gate horses in the country. I expect to see them play catch me if you can.
Race 9 Grade II New York
Homerique (8): Has the look to be any kind and she beat her main competition in here when she wasn’t 100% cranked… the other Chad Brown trained runner.
Compettionofideas (6): The other Chad Brown runner in here but she lost to top pick easily last time. She would have to step up big to win here.
Semper Sententiae (): She always runs her race and has only missed the tri in one of her 8 career starts which didn’t come with current trainer Mark Hennig. A good horse for the exotics.
Race 10 Grade II Belmont Gold Cup
Raa Atoll (8): The one horse in the race with a win at the 2 mile distance, I don’t know much about the connections but this one has kept good company over seas and we will never see 6/1.
Arlow (6): Connections have always been on this one he ran the race of his life last time to narrowly lose. He should be ready to run another big one here having a race in him now.
Canessar (9): The longer the better for this one, he was second in this race last year in a much better edition in my mind.
1,2,3,4,6,7/ 3,4,5,6,7,8,10/8/ 6,8/ 1,2,3,8,11 = $252
Race 7 Pick 7 7-11
Race 7 Grade I Acorn
Ce Ce (9): Lost her second start at short odds but ran a big race an is eligible for a win here at a square price from a perfectly drawn post.
Queen of Beas (8): Should be able to work out a dream trip with loads of speed and get a pace meltdown at a big number. Another who was compromised with a speed bias derby weekend.
Guarana (7): Could be any kind but do you really want to take a short price on a horse that has one win? and it was over the slop at Keeneland which was speed bias that day.
Race 8 Grade I Woody Stevens
Nitrous (6): Third off the layoff looking for him to blow this race up at a big number coming from off the pace into a hot pace.
Mind Control (9): He is the one to beat here. This is what he was built to do, a 7F sprinter he should have no excuse with the beautifully drawn post.
Much Better (2): Hoping the blinkers off her pays off and he can relax a little more, this is a 40% move for Baffert.
Race 9 Grade I Metropolitan Mile
McKinzie (2): I have always thought the one turn mile would be his best distance so I go here for King Bob. He is very versatile he can go to the lead or he can take back he should be able to sit right on the rail and do whatever he wants.
Mitole (3): We still don’t know how good this one is but going 7F at CH with an ideal post is a lot different then going a mile on Big Sandy. We will see if he’s as good as he’s run or if he should stay as a sprinter after this one.
Prince Lucky (9): If you can get past his last start in the slop then he fits in this field at a big number which I doubt well see. Player in here for TAP and Johnny V on a day they typically rule.
Race 10 Grade I Manhattan
Channel Maker (10): This is one that just loves this course and ran the best race of his life last out. Bill Mott can seem to do no wrong this year.
Bricks and Mortar (8): He is the one to beat and should be very short but I think this will be the most accomplished field he has faced yet.
Robert Bruce (3): Finally gets a chance to get back on firm turf in this spot where his career best races have come, could Chad beat himself?
Race 11 Grade I Belmont
Tactius (10): He is the one to beat with the extra time off and working like a monster into the race. He is bred to run all day, someone will have to step up to beat him.
Intrepid Heart (8): The connections thought he could be any kind before the Peter Pan and he had a terrible start so the addition of blinkers should be very beneficial for him. Would like to see what he can do if he’s closer to the pace.
Spinoff (6): The other Pletcher in the race, he has shown speed in the past which he didn’t in the derby. He could fill out the exotics at a big number if he can get loose here.
Pick 5 7-11
4,5,6,7,8,9/ 2,4,6,9/ 2,3,9/ 1,3,4,5,7,8,10/ 10 = $252